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Application of a propensity score approach for risk adjustment in profiling multiple physician groups on asthma care

Health Services Research,  Feb, 2005  by I-Chan Huang,  Constantine Frangakis,  Francesca Dominici,  Gregory B. Diette,  Albert W. Wu

<< Page 1  Continued from page 12.  Previous | Next
Table A1: Propensity Scores of Patients i Enrolling in Each
of 20 Physician Groups

                                The ith Patient

The jth group         1               2               3

1               [e.sub.1], 1    [e.sub.2], 1    [e.sub.3], 1
2               [e.sub.1], 2    [e.sub.2], 2    [e.sub.3], 2
*
j
*
20              [e.sub.1], 20   [e.sub.2], 20   [e.sub.3], 20

The jth group         4               5               6

1               [e.sub.4], 1    [e.sub.5], 1    [e.sub.6], 1
2               [e.sub.4], 2    [e.sub.5], 2    [e.sub.6], 2
*
j
*
20              [e.sub.4], 20   [e.sub.5], 20   [e.sub.6], 20

The jth group         7         ...        i         ...

1               [e.sub.7], 1    ...        *         ...
2               [e.sub.7], 2               *
*                                          *
j                                     [e.sub.i], j
*                                          *
20              [e.sub.7], 20   ...        *         ...

The jth group        2,515

1               [e.sub.2,515], 1
2               [e.sub.2,515], 2
*
j
*
20              [e.sub.2,515], 3

Table A2: Comparing the jth Physician Group versus
Other 19 Physician Groups

                     Patients Actually in the
                        jth Physician Group
                          (j = 1, ..., 20)

               Patients Who Are
Propensity      Satisfied with        Total Patients
Stratum (s)   Care in Strata (s)       in Strata (s)
    (1)               (2)                   (3)

1                 [C.sub.j,1]           [N.sub.j,1]
2                 [C.sub.j,2]           [N.sub.j,2]
3                 [C.sub.j,3]           [N.sub.j,3]
4                 [C.sub.j,4]           [N.sub.j,4]
5                 [C.sub.j,5]           [N.sub.j,5]
Overall       [SIGMA] [C.sub.j,s]   [SIGMA] [N.sub.j,s]

               Patients Actually
                in the Other 19
               Physician Groups                Patients in
                 (Exclude the              20 Physician Groups
                  jth Group)

Propensity      Total Patients               Total Patients
Stratum (s)      in Strata (s)                in Strata (s)
    (1)               (4)                          (5)

1                 [M.sub.j,1]           [N.sub.j,1] + [M.sub.j,1]
2                 [M.sub.j,2]           [N.sub.j,2] + [M.sub.j,2]
3                 [M.sub.j,3]           [N.sub.j,3] + [M.sub.j,3]
4                 [M.sub.j,4]           [N.sub.j,4] + [M.sub.j,4]
5                 [M.sub.j,5]           [N.sub.j,5] + [M.sub.j,5]
Overall       [SIGMA] [M.sub.j,s]   [SIGMA] [N.sub.j,s] + [M.sub.j,s]

Table 1: Analytic Framework for Comparing Risk-Adjustment
Methods for Physician Group Profiling

                                     Risk-Adjustment Method

Method           Description             Risk Adjustor

Method 1   Hierarchical outcome      Sociodemographic
             regression adjustment     (age, sex, education
             without propensity        level, types of
             scores                    insurance, drug
                                       coverage), Clinical
                                       (asthma severity and
                                       number of co-morbid
                                       conditions), Health
                                       status (SF-36
                                       physical and mental
                                       component scores)
Method 2   Propensity score-         Same as for Method 1
             based risk adjustment

           Risk-Adjustment Method

Method              Remarks

Method 1   1. Adjusts for covariate
             effects on patient
             satisfaction
           2. Addresses
             regression-to-the-
             mean using
             hierarchical
             regression on the
             covariates

Method 2   1. Adjusts for covariate
             effects on provider
             selection, using
             propensity scores;
             does not adjust for
             effects on satisfaction
           2. Addresses regression-
             to-the-mean using
             shrinkage techniques *
             on the propensity-score
             based proportions of
             satisfaction

* Using Morris's approach (Morris 1983).

Table 2: Characteristics of Patients with Asthma (n = 2,515)

Dimension                                   Frequency or Mean (SD)

Age (%)
  18-24                                           7.2
  25-34                                          22.0
  35-44                                          34.6
  45-54                                          33.2
  55 and above                                    3.1
  Overall, mean (SD)                             39.9 (9.5)
Sex (%)
  Male                                           28.8
  Female                                         71.2
Race (%)
  White                                          70.3
  African American                                5.1
  Asian American                                 10.0
  Other                                          14.7
Education (%)
  High school or below                           18.4
  College                                        65.3
  Graduate                                       16.3
Health insurance status (%)
  Private--through employer                      69.1
  Private--through self-purchase                 24.8
  Public--Medicare, Medicaid                      1.4
  Other                                           4.9
Drug insurance coverage (%)                      96.5
Asthma severity (%)
  Mild intermittent                              14.4
  Mild persistent                                19.2
  Moderate persistent                            49.3
  Severe persistent                              17.1
Number of comorbidity, mean (SD)                  2.1 (1.4)
SF-36 Physical component score, mean (SD)        45.7 (10.3)
SF-36 Mental component score, mean (SD)          47.4 (10.7)
Satisfaction with asthma care
  More satisfied with asthma care                55.4
  Less satisfied with asthma care                44.7

Table 3: Performance of 20 Physician Groups Estimated Using
Different Methods

                         No Risk Adjustment

           Number of
           Patients    Unadjusted
Group ID   in Group     Rate (%)       OR (SE)

 1 *          163         63.8      1.0
 2            177         60.5      0.87 (0.19)
 3            151         58.3      0.79 (0.18)
 4            212         59.0      0.82 (0.17)
 5             63         71.4      1.42 (0.46)
 6             86         59.3      0.83 (0.23)
 7            146         49.3      0.55 (0.13)
 8             82         58.5      0.80 (0.22)
 9            110         78.2      2.03 (0.57)
10             75         53.3      0.65 (0.18)
11             64         37.5      0.34 (0.10)
12            103         47.6      0.51 (0.13)
13            176         48.9      0.54 (0.12)
14            141         36.9      0.33 (0.08)
15             31         38.7      0.36 (0.14)
16            164         61.6      0.91 (0.21)
17            194         48.5      0.53 (0.12)
18            110         50.9      0.59 (0.15)
19            218         58.7      0.81 (0.17)
20             49         49.0      0.54 (0.18)

            Hierarchical Outcome     Propensity Score-Based
            Regression Adjustment       Risk Adjustment

           Adjusted                  Adjusted
Group ID   Rates (%)      OR (SE)    Rates (%)      OR (SE)

 1 *         64.7      1.0             57.7      1.0
 2           65.4      1.03 (0.23)     63.7      1.29 (0.68)
 3           62.2      0.90 (0.21)     54.5      0.88 (0.24)
 4           65.8      1.05 (0.23)     57.9      1.01 (0.34)
 5           68.9      1.21 (0.32)     61.6      1.18 (0.52)
 6           59.4      0.80 (0.21)     51.2      0.77 (0.20)
 7           58.5      0.77 (0.18)     50.5      0.75 (0.19)
 8           64.2      0.98 (0.25)     60.8      1.14 (0.48)
 9           76.4      1.77 (0.45)     67.7      1.54 (1.05)
10           62.0      0.89 (0.23)     54.2      0.87 (0.23)
11           52.8      0.61 (0.17)     42.3      0.54 (0.20)
12           55.1      0.67 (0.17)     46.1      0.63 (0.19)
13           57.9      0.75 (0.17)     50.8      0.76 (0.20)
14           49.2      0.53 (0.13)     39.0      0.47 (0.22)
15           56.0      0.71 (0.21)     52.4      0.81 (0.21)
16           65.1      1.02 (0.24)     59.0      1.06 (0.40)
17           57.5      0.74 (0.17)     53.6      0.85 (0.22)
18           60.9      0.85 (0.21)     52.7      0.82 (0.21)
19           66.0      1.06 (0.23)     59.3      1.07 (0.40)
20           59.1      0.79 (0.22)     55.0      0.90 (0.24)

* Physician group 1 as the reference group.

OR = odds ratio.

Table 4: Characteristics of Physician Groups That Shifted Quintile
Rankings Based on Different Risk Adjustment Methods *

                                   Number
ID # of                              of
Physician                         Patients   Patient Characteristics
Group            Location         in Group          ([dagger])

(A) Raising ranks after using propensity score method

2           Northern California     177      Gender, severity, number
                                               of comorbidity, drug
                                               prescription coverage,
                                               PCS, MCS
8           Northern California      82      Age, gender, severity,
                                               number of comorbidity,
                                               drug prescription
                                               coverage, PCS, MCS
15          Southern California      31      Age, gender, severity,
                                               number of comorbidity,
                                               drug prescription
                                               coverage, PCS, MCS
17          Southern California     194      Age, gender, PCs, MCS
20          Southern California      49      Age, gender, severity,
                                               number of comorbidity,
                                               PCS, MCS

(B) Lowering ranks after using propensity score method

4           Northen California      212      Age, gender, severity,
                                               number of comorbidity,
                                               PCS
6           Northen California       86      Age, gender, severity,
                                               number of comorbidity,
                                               drug prescription
                                               coverage, PCS, MCS
7           Northern California     146      Age, gender, number of
                                               comorbidity, drug
                                               prescription coverage
18          Southern California     110      Age, gender, severity,
                                               number of comorbidity,
                                               drug prescription
                                               coverage, PCS
19          Southern California     218      Age, gender, drug
                                               prescription coverage,
                                               PCS, MCS

* Method 1 (hierarchical outcome regression adjustment without using
propensity score), Method 2 (propensity score-based risk adjustment).

([dagger]) Statistically different from grand mean (p< 0.05).

PCS = physical component score; MCS = mental component score.