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FindArticles > News > Business

US Semiconductor Market: A Yearlong Timeline

Gregory Zuckerman
Last updated: October 26, 2025 9:52 am
By Gregory Zuckerman
Business
7 Min Read
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The U.S. chip industry burned rubber in 2019, propelled by record artificial intelligence spending demand, supply chain controls and flow tensions, and largest tech deal ever. Here is a chronology, event by event, of how the market developed, why it mattered and where competitive lines were redrawn.

Context matters: The Semiconductor Industry Association pegs companies with U.S. headquarters as responsible for about half of global chip revenue, yet the rest of the advanced manufacturing of the world is overseas. That imbalance colored almost all of its decisions, from export rules to new foundry plans.

Table of Contents
  • AI demand rewrites earnings playbooks
  • Policy whiplash and export controls that shift
  • Corporate shake‑ups redefine chipmaking
  • Capital flows, governance pressure and the state
  • China sales reopen — at a cost
  • M&A targets the AI stack from photons to code
  • Why this year matters
Nvidia H20 chip on a clean, professional blue - grey background with subtle hexagonal patterns. Filename : nvidiah 20chip professional .png

AI demand rewrites earnings playbooks

Nvidia’s data center engine purred along to drive the company’s record results, as well as a standout surge in AI infrastructure sales. As it did, management informed investors that they would no longer include the Chinese market in forward guidance, citing tougher licensing requirements and a more complex sales pipeline.

Licensing rules were not just a footnote. Nvidia recorded multibillion‑dollar charges related to sanctions on its H20 accelerators and warned of additional sales impacts, a reminder that government policy can sting as much as commercial competition. But to Wall Street it was the same old message: demand to compute continued to outstrip supply.

Policy whiplash and export controls that shift

Export policy seesawed. A broad framework that was floated at the federal level was withdrawn by the Commerce Department, though officials said new guidance would be forthcoming, while warning that using particular Chinese AI chips would run afoul of U.S. rules. Lawmakers of both parties called for greater enforcement, saying loopholes undermined national security objectives.

Alliances and trade routes came into play. Malaysia imposed its own permits for advance notice before re‑exporting U.S.-made AI chips, and conversations between the U.S. and China over rare earths became intertwined with chip licensing. A headline-grabbing deal to supply advanced accelerators to the Middle East was frozen over questions of diversion, a reminder of how geopolitics now sits within the order book.

Corporate shake‑ups redefine chipmaking

Intel’s leadership reset was decisive. Industry veteran Lip‑Bu Tan took over with a mandate to put engineering at the center once again. Early moves included focusing efforts on spinning off non‑core units, starting custom silicon programs, and flattening management. The company indicated it would slash thousands of jobs in a plan to streamline operations and reorient itself around execution speed.

The restructuring went deeper. Intel disclosed a spinout of its Network and Edge business, reduced manufacturing obligations in Europe, combined test operations and established a slimmer year-end headcount target. A showcase U.S. fab megaproject also slipped, underscoring how capital intensity, supply bottlenecks and permitting can clash with political expectations.

A detailed , professional image of a computer chip with intricate circuitry and colorful components , set against a dark, slightly textured background. Filename : computerchip professional1 6x9. png

Industry partnership emerged as a potential accelerant. Intel and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) discussed a joint operating model for certain fabs with TSMC owning a minority stake, according to sources. Even before a deal was signed, the talks showed how the foundry race may warp traditional rivalries in the name of generating scale and yield.

Capital flows, governance pressure and the state

Ownership and control became a feature of industrial policy. The U.S. government acted to convert part of earlier support into an equity stake in Intel, about a tenth of the company, under terms aimed at retaining majority control of its foundry unit. The message: Public money comes with strings — performance and governance hooks.

Private capital followed. SoftBank revealed that it had taken a multibillion‑dollar stake in Intel and described the investment as strategic. On top of that, there was talk of tariffs hitting the air waves but fell short on actions, while the White House directly engaged with Intel’s new chief on reshoring goals, suggesting C-suites and policymakers were reading from the same playbook if not always the same page.

China sales reopen — at a cost

A small window reopened for U.S. chipmakers to sell limited AI parts into China. Nvidia lodged papers to restart shipments of H20 products and launched a market‑specific GPU, while AMD went its own way. Both companies had come to a licensing deal with Washington: to sell under quotas and to hand over to the United States government 15% of China-related revenue.

The compromise shined a light on a new political landscape. Entry to the world’s second‑largest market has been reduced to calibrated specs, strict compliance and financial givebacks. The calculus for vendors was a balance of short‑term sales against long‑term platform alignment with U.S. policy and supply chain security.

M&A targets the AI stack from photons to code

AMD slapped together bits of an AI road map with the acquisition of a silicon photonics startup, a software optimization shop that claims to be able to retarget models away from one vendor’s hardware, and an acqui‑hire of an inference‑chip team. The through-line: a closer proximity of hardware and software to increase customer choice and to avoid reliance on a single ecosystem.

Why this year matters

Considered together, the year’s dates form a playbook for the coming decade: Hyperscale AI demand is structural; export mechanisms are a permanent design constraint; and U.S. industrial policy is transitioning from grants to leverage. Company filings, SIA data and public remarks — from The Wall Street Journal op‑eds to earnings calls — all lead to the same conclusion: The U.S. is seeking to turn innovation leadership into sustainable manufacturing and supply chain resilience, all while the ground shifts below feet.

Gregory Zuckerman
ByGregory Zuckerman
Gregory Zuckerman is a veteran investigative journalist and financial writer with decades of experience covering global markets, investment strategies, and the business personalities shaping them. His writing blends deep reporting with narrative storytelling to uncover the hidden forces behind financial trends and innovations. Over the years, Gregory’s work has earned industry recognition for bringing clarity to complex financial topics, and he continues to focus on long-form journalism that explores hedge funds, private equity, and high-stakes investing.
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