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Old NFL Graphic Fuels Super Bowl Rigging Claims

Bill Thompson
Last updated: January 26, 2026 11:09 pm
By Bill Thompson
News
6 Min Read
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A preseason illustration from the league’s own marketing arsenal has become the latest centerpiece for “NFL script” believers, who claim the artwork predicted this year’s matchup and proves the Super Bowl is fiXed. The image, posted before kickoff months ago, prominently features quarterbacks Sam Darnold and Drake Maye at the front of a player collage gazing at the Lombardi Trophy—now the very QBs leading Seattle and New England into Super Bowl LX. The coincidence rocketed across social platforms, with conspiracy chatter surging and the league swiftly swatting it away.

How An Offseason Image Became “Evidence”

As fans resurfaced the illustration after the conference championships, screenshots zoomed in on Darnold and Maye’s placement nearest the trophy. Posts framed the composition as an encoded hint. In reality, the graphic was part of a preseason hype push featuring a mix of stars and rising names—standard fare for a sport that markets faces as much as franchises.

Table of Contents
  • How An Offseason Image Became “Evidence”
  • Reality Check in the Image Itself and Context
  • What the Numbers Really Suggest About Coincidences
  • Why the “Script” Meme Endures in NFL Fan Culture
  • League Response And Integrity Safeguards
  • The Bottom Line on the NFL “Script” Conspiracy Claims
The Vince Lombardi Trophy, a silver football atop a three-sided stand with the NFL logo, presented on a professional flat design background with soft blue and white gradients.

When the image went viral, the NFL’s communications office weighed in. A league spokesperson brushed off the theory on X with a terse denial, underscoring that a stylized poster is not a crystal ball. The response tracked with the NFL’s habit of treating “script” claims as punchline rather than proof.

Reality Check in the Image Itself and Context

Look beyond the cropped highlights and the “prediction” wobbles. Other players—like Tampa Bay’s Baker Mayfield and New York’s Malik Nabers—appear just as close to the trophy in the same frame, yet their teams didn’t even reach the postseason. That’s the hazard of post hoc analysis: viewers spotlight the pieces that fit and ignore the ones that don’t.

Design conventions also matter. Creative teams typically anchor compositions with quarterbacks and high-recognition athletes to balance color, eye lines, and team distribution. Proximity to the trophy in a collage is often about symmetry and star power, not seeding outcomes.

What the Numbers Really Suggest About Coincidences

The odds of any specific AFC–NFC pairing meeting in the Super Bowl are roughly 1 in 256, or about 0.39%, if you treat teams as equal. That sounds striking—until you consider the “look-elsewhere” effect. Across dozens of preseason posters, promos, broadcast teases, team photos, and social posts, there are thousands of potential pairings and visual juxtapositions. With enough material, coincidences are inevitable, and social media is exceptionally good at hunting them down after the fact.

Interest in finding hidden patterns spikes when stakes are high. The American Gaming Association has reported record Super Bowl wagering in recent seasons, with tens of millions of adults planning bets and handle in the tens of billions. In that environment, every replay angle and graphic becomes fodder for pattern-seeking—especially for fans whose teams fell short.

The Vince Lombardi Trophy, a silver football atop a tapered stand, is presented against a professional flat design background with soft patterns and gradients.

Why the “Script” Meme Endures in NFL Fan Culture

The meme is now part of NFL culture. The league even lampooned it with a 2023 ad that staged a fake table read for the “next season.” Despite the satire, the idea persists because it scratches familiar internet itches: irony, grievance, and pop-culture mashups. Last year, for example, the Travis Kelce–Taylor Swift relationship was drafted into baseless claims that the league tilted results for Kansas City, and fans previously spun “logo color theory” to claim the Super Bowl emblem quietly forecast its finalists.

Psychology plays a role. Humans are wired to see patterns—apophenia and confirmation bias thrive in sports, where randomness collides with emotional investment. After outcomes are known, selective evidence feels persuasive even when it’s cherry-picked.

League Response And Integrity Safeguards

The NFL has strong incentives to keep competition clean; independent estimates place league revenue north of $19 billion, and a match-fixing scandal would be existential. The league partners with Genius Sports on integrity services, educates players and staff on gambling policies, and works with regulated sportsbooks and monitoring firms to flag irregularities. Officiating decisions are reviewed, graded, and increasingly explained via public video breakdowns and pool reports.

Those systems aren’t about preventing memes—they’re designed to detect and deter conduct that could actually compromise results. To date, no credible investigation has suggested the NFL orchestrates outcomes, and the sprawling number of stakeholders—from teams and officials to broadcasters and bookmakers—makes a secret leaguewide “script” both implausible and economically irrational.

The Bottom Line on the NFL “Script” Conspiracy Claims

That offseason graphic is a fun coincidence, not a confession. It’s natural for fans to joke about a “script,” especially when a clever screenshot seems to fit the moment. But the poster was designed to market stars, not map destiny—and the game, as ever, will be decided on the field, not in a mood board.

Bill Thompson
ByBill Thompson
Bill Thompson is a veteran technology columnist and digital culture analyst with decades of experience reporting on the intersection of media, society, and the internet. His commentary has been featured across major publications and global broadcasters. Known for exploring the social impact of digital transformation, Bill writes with a focus on ethics, innovation, and the future of information.
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